Prof. Norman Fenton begins sustained Bayesian analysis of Letby case

Prof. Norman Fenton of Queen Mary University of London begins a sustained academic-blog series applying formal Bayesian network analysis to the Letby evidence. The series operationalises the Royal Statistical Society post-Sally-Clark framework into explicit prior/likelihood/posterior calculations. Conclusion: posterior probability of guilt does not meet the criminal-law beyond-reasonable-doubt threshold. The most detailed publicly-available Bayesian analysis of the Letby evidence.